Quantifying travellers’ evaluation of waiting time uncertainty in public transport networks

Although waiting times are inherently uncertain in public transport networks, previous research has primarily studied route choice behaviour under risk. Since understanding such is important to correctly model network flows and gain better of traveller satisfaction, we propose a method assess travellers’ natural ambiguity. Specifically, devise realistic situation whereby attitudes perceptions towards time uncertainty as well the effects situational contexts thereon can be quantified terms certainty equivalent. The contextualised stated preferences experiment analyse premium travellers Dutch railways willing pay for time. Results indicate significantly improved fit predictive value when accounting with travellers, on average, trade-off more than 7 minutes in-vehicle have their Minor non-linear elapsed anticipated delays also found heterogeneity analysis indicates that younger tend seek certainty. proposed provides snapshots uncertainties real-world system used improve transportation models, provide tailored travel advice, test efficacy different policies.